BusinessNEPG Estimates 2019 Potato Harvest at Five-Year Average

NEPG Estimates 2019 Potato Harvest at Five-Year Average

-

The North-Western European Potato Growers (NEPG) estimates the 2019 forecasted potato harvest between 27 and 27.3 million tons for the five leading potato countries. This is three per cent more than the five-year average and 12 per cent more than last year. At this stage, the estimations are mainly based upon trial digs. Nevertheless, the NEPG stresses this is an estimation — final trial digs will take place at the beginning of October — and almost the entire crop is still in the fields.

More Potatoes Planted

This year, it’s not yield that is making a larger harvest, but an increase of potato area compared with last year. All NEPG countries, except Great Britain, planted more potatoes: in France 14 per cent more than the five-year average area.

Over the five countries, the average yield is estimated right now at 44.7 tons/ha compared with 47.1 tons/ha of the five-year average. Last year, with the lack of rain, the average was 40.9 tons/ha.

Large Differences

Due to the small percentage of irrigation (and somewhat less rainfall) the lowest yield estimations were given for Belgium. In France, Belgium, and larger parts of Germany, the crop on the field has almost died off with hardly growth power for the remaining days or weeks. The latest digs showed a levelling of the yields. In the Netherlands, Great Britain and in some areas of Germany, green crops can still be found in some locations. Also, within the five countries, enormous yield differences are reported by variety and location. Those areas with low irrigation opportunities show the lowest yields. In Great Britain, the harvest is later and there the yields are based upon the five-year average. Also, the starch potato harvest shows lower yields this year.

The Market

These estimations are not reflected in the actual price levels, and the NEPG expects prices could increase over the upcoming weeks on the Continent. The factories were hungrier for raw material early in the summer when compared with last year, and the season started nearly empty and a bit sooner than usual. And processing capacities are still increasing. At one point, the processing season was a bit disrupted with earlies from Bordeaux, Rhineland and Belgium arriving at the same time, which didn’t help prices firming.

Competitiveness of final products from the EU will be better this year on the global market, with potato prices not as high as last year. Eastern European countries report much lower yields. The EU satellite program MARS indicates a five to 10 per cent lower harvest (compared to the five-year average) in Poland and several other Eastern countries. There is already a lively export from the NEPG countries to Poland and Romania. The MARS indications for the EU 28 are 3.1 per cent lower compared with the five-year average (August report).

By the end of October, the NEPG will do a second estimation over the big five.

Trending This Week

Building Resilience: What Role Does the CPC Play in Canada’s Potato Industry?

Canadian potato growers today must continue to evolve amid a changing agricultural landscape, where sustainable practices and technological innovation are imperative for success. Understanding these...

Manitoba Potato Industry: Grounded in Pride

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iC0Ie-KRLSY   With a record-setting 650 attendees and a program packed with timely information for growers, the 52nd annual Manitoba Potato Production Days was certainly one...

Making the Right Variety Choices with Data and Expertise

0
This is a busy time of year. The holidays are behind us and you’re deep in the process of planning for the upcoming season....

Market Update – January

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u4zX_MQC37A The latest Canadian Potato Storage Holdings report won't be released until mid February, but Spud Smart editor Dawn Ius and UPGC General Manager Victoria...

Live From the Farm: Grandpa Heppell Shares Advice for Young Potato Growers on Instagram

When Tyler Heppell reached out to his 500,000 Instagram followers inviting them to ask his 87-year-old grandpa “anything” he couldn’t have imagined the flood...